Monday, February 25, 2013

Arsenal 2 - 1 Aston Villa - Relief for Wenger


Arsenal fans were relived to have gotten the win in the end because Aston Villa was good for at least one point on the night. Unfortunately, Cazorla—who had an excellent game—had other ideas as he stormed into the box and slotted beyond Brad Guzan to steal all three points. Wilshere rightly said after the match that it was a massive win and a “massive relief” to get three points. Paul Lambert stated that Villa didn’t deserve to lose and thinks that his side will stay in the league if they continue to play like they did—more on that later though.

How the teams lined up

After recent disappointments in cup competitions, Arsene Wenger decided that he needed his team to be on the ball more, and hence dropped Podolski to the bench and placed Cazorla on the left as a playmaking wide midfielder. Arteta and Diaby sat deep while Wilshere and Cazorla interchanged fluently behind Giroud. Arsenal was set up to control possession and create chances (which they did with 64% possession and taking 26 goal attempts) knowing Villa would sit deep. Diaby provided the link between midfield and attack while Cazorla and Wilshere combined well behind the Villa defence to create chances.

Villa played 4-4-1-1 with N’Zogbia providing a counterattacking outlet—largely ineffective—behind Benteke, and Agbonlahor and Weimann on the wings. The fullbacks remained cautious for the most part and Villa was always looking to play long diagonal balls to their wingers who were really threatening going forward. This was a team set up to sit deep and hit on the counter, which they did for the second goal of the match.

How play shaped up

Villa sat deep from the start with two holding midfielders, Westwood and Delph, while Arsenal pressed fairly high, looking to win the ball and bring Cazorla and Wilshere into the game. This strategy of the teams hardly changed throughout the match, even after Villa equalized.

For Villa, Agbonlahor and Weimann were a constant menace down the flanks. Arsenal’s fullbacks Jenkinson and Monreal play generally high up the pitch—they are the only ones that provide any natural width in this Arsenal formation—and hence left huge spaces behind them for the Villa wide men to exploit. Weimann hugged the touchline and looked to cross for Benteke or onrushing midfielders; Agbonlahor played inside a bit too. There was one particular chance when he rushed onto an accurate cross by Weimann brushing aside Mertesacker that made the big German look pretty silly. The Austrian created 5 chances during the match.

Arsenal looked to dictate play throughout, with Diaby linking midfield and attack. Cazorla constantly drifted in from the left and looked to make passing patterns with Wilshere and Giroud, who dropped deep. The Frenchman linked up play well and played some sweet one-twos but was largely disappointing in front of goal. He had a wonderful chance off a corner; he crashed the open header off the crossbar, which he really should have done better with. Stats indicate the Giroud usually needs about 7 shots to convert, and he’s taken 22 shots since his last goal—he’s due for some luck in front of goal soon. After Arsenal went a goal down, they pressed higher up the pitch and looked to get the full backs into play, so Podolski (who came on for Jenkinson) and Walcott could get into the box. The hugely efficient German striker uncharacteristically missed a tap-in in he 84th minute, but Cazorla saved his teammate’s blushes in the 86th minute by slotting in a Monreal cross.

Final thoughts

It was a much needed three pointer for Arsenal after a disastrous couple of results. Wenger hasn’t mentioned it in 2013 yet, but the team seems to be playing with the “handbrake” on during first halves. On this form, it is difficult to imagine them scoring 3 at the Allianz Arena. Chelsea and Spurs haven’t lain solid claims to the last 2 Champions League spots while Everton are fading, so it seems to be a 3-way fight.

Aston Villa definitely have the personnel to stay on this form but showing a little more ambition after they’d equalized would have put Arsenal on the back foot, especially with the indifferent form of their defense. They chose to continue to defend deep which didn’t work; the excellent Cazorla completely bossed the space between their midfield and attack which led to the Arsenal winner.

Arsenal ratings

Wojciech Szczesny: Made a couple of decent saves, and one really good one against N’Zogbia. Handling was a bit suspect and surely could’ve done better for the goal which he did get a good look at. 5/10
Carl Jenkinson: Better than Sunderland performance. One particular interception and cross almost led to a goal. Weak header led to Weimann goal. 6/10
Nacho Monreal: Exhibited very decent ball control for the cross that led to the second goal. Weimann gave him the run-around at times but was generally solid. 7/10
Thomas Vermaelen: Kept Benteke quiet. Uneventful game, which is a good improvement upon previous comedy performances. 6/10
Per Mertesacker: Uneventful game as well. Was brushed aside by Agbonlahor which almost led to a goal; expect much better from a seasoned German international. 6/10
Abou Diaby: 6/10 – Quiet game, but was central to one particular move that almost led to a Walcott goal. Picked up injury as he does. 6/10
Mikel Arteta: Typically efficient. Won the ball well and made important interceptions that helped set up attacking moves. 7/10
Jack Wilshere: Central to all that was good about Arsenal’s play. Could be seen chasing back during Villa’s goal. Drove at the defence and harried the midfield while picking out runners with sublime skill. Don’t get injured please. 8/10
Santi Cazorla: Two goals scored, one with each foot. Thank you very much. 9/10.
Olivier Giroud: Held the ball up well, and linked play wonderfully on occasion. A little wasteful in front of goal, but we have to admit that we were pampered by some clinical Dutch finishing last season. Must do better in front of goal. 6.5/10
Theo Walcott: Pretty quiet game. Full backs stayed back and didn’t give him space to run into. Dribbled well on a couple of occasions and put in a few threatening crosses. 6.5/10
Subs
Aaron Ramsey: Hardworking performance, and did better than Diaby in the ball-carrying midfield role. Filled in well at right back. Encouraging return to form (touchwood) 7/10
Lukas Podolski: Was brought to provide to a goal threat, and missed an absolute sitter. Dare I say, looked a little indifferent while Arsenal was chasing the game? 5/10

Saturday, February 23, 2013

Gunners hoping for a break…


Bayern Munich gave Arsenal a reality check – Arsenal does not know how to play well unless it’s a couple of goals down. That has been the case in losing efforts against Chelsea, Munich, draws against Liverpool and Fulham; all saw strong second half “Arsenal Football” (or so players would like to call it). In fact barring the few games when Arsenal have toyed with their opponents for 4 5 or 6 goals in a match, most have been either dogged saves or tough single goal wins.

Though their home record this season has been as flattering as Sally Fields playing Mrs. Lincoln, teams like Aston Villa 'should' be easy to handle. However, tough 1-0’s against the likes of Swansea and more recently Stoke flash a warning sign not to be ignored. Another problem Arsenal is facing is its line of defense. Let us keep aside the predictable leakage problem in the back four; this game sees Arsenal having trouble in fielding a specialist in each position. With first choice Sagna injured, Jenkinsen will see a place in the starting line-up. We're still hoping to see the Jenkinsen we saw at the beginning of the season.

Villa has had its own set of problems this year. Inconsistent scoring record leading to a relatively poor Away record, especially against the top six teams, points in such games have been hard to come by. Barring a 3-1 away aberration against Liverpool, incidentally their last away victory in the PL, the score-lines have been quite damning for Villa. Though they can take some heart from their last away game against Everton, a 3-3 draw, I don’t see Villa making the same dents in the Arsenal defense. Villa have not won consecutive games in the Premier League this season; a trend that, if continued, means they can hope at most for a draw (they last won against Wet Ham on Feb 10th). Villa will be lifted with a healthy Charles N’Zogbia, as there were further fears that he would be injured.

One stat that I found coincidental in the way the numbers lined up was the propensity for the two teams to win/lose and score/concede in their respective home/away games. Arsenal in their 13 home games has 7 wins, 3 draws 3 losses. Villa in theirs 13 Away, have 2 wins and frankly if they can pull of a draw, it will be as good as a win. So, both teams stack up nicely in their respective records - 3 losses in 13 and 2 wins in 13. Another pretty fact:

Goals Scored For/ Against at home in the 13 games for Arsenal; 33 and 18
Goals Scored For/Against Villa for Away games; 31/14.

As a fan of symmetry, I’ll take these numbers as seeing myself in a slightly dirty mirror!

Rudimentary mathematics with poor assumptions tells me that Arsenal wins 3-1. However, the last time Villa went through three games without a loss was back in November, when they started the run against the very team they play now. Coincidence??? YES!

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Monday night at Anfield: Liverpool miss Sturridge, Downing and Johnson dangerous, and Shelvey caught offside


Steve Clarke celebrated his return to Anfield with a 2 - 0 win over the defense he built with Kop legend Kenny Daglish a year ago. On a night when Carra continued to keep last season's player of the year Martin Skrtel out West Brom scored two goals in the last twenty minutes to pile misery on Rodger's team. Liverpool sorely missed the services of Daniel Sturridge who was out with a thigh injury, the match started off in typical fashion with Liverpool dominating possession without really threatening the opposition. Stewart Downing and Johnson looked dangerous to begin but failed to create any real chances.  The gaffer’s ploy to use Shelvey in support of Suarez backfired as he continued to find himself offside on more than one occasion. Defensive lynchpin Carra produced an outstanding performance but his defensive partner lost his marker in a set – piece, with time running out Liverpool continued to commit bodies up the field giving Lukaku space to seal the game in the dying stages.
WHAT DID NOT WORK
  1. Liverpool missed Sturridge; without him they lacked bodies in the box and looked like a team waiting for a failed clearance to come their way 
  2. Whenever Shelvey was not found offside he dropped deep to give an advantage in midfield; unfortunately he kept giving away the ball and the advantage was all West Brom 
  3. Glen Johnson is obsessed with taking on the full backs (7, 9 & 82 min), he needs to mix it up and put in low crosses in the middle & edge of the box for Sturrdige, Gerrard or Henderson. Case in point: goals scored by Van Persie (Man Utd vs. Liverpool) and Dzeko (Man City vs. Liverpool) ( See stat 2  image)
  4. Henderson is a much better player in the middle of the park, leaving him on the left meant Enrique was on his own on the left flank; sometimes Suarez went here when he really should be in the box
  5. Lucas had an off - day; he went missing in the first half and although he made a few interceptions in the second he really needs to work on his forward passing skills. Case in point - Michael Essien in his prime and Mulumbu today (See stat 1 image)
WHAT DID WORK
  1. Suarez and Gerrard combined beautifully to produce excellent football. The pair looked the most threatening to score a goal 
  2. Downing and Johnson created mayhem on the right wing but seemed to run out of steam later on
  3. Suarez continued to showcase excellent skills by crossing the ball from the byline in the 19th minute 
  4. Agger made a menace of himself in set pieces but lost his marker to concede the first goal 
  5. Carra uses his head; he continues to be a calm and dominating presence in the box
Stat # 1- Lucas needs to do more than just win the ball back 
Stat 2# - Glen Johnson needs to focus on getting the ball into the box instead of
taking on defenders all the time