Saturday, March 16, 2013

Swansea v Arsenal..Ambition v Survival


After Arsenal’s biggest win in a losing cause this season, a fatigued and injured team travels to the dreaded Liberty Stadium. The Welsh side has been more than exemplary this season notching up impressive wins against Arsenal, Chelsea and Newcastle. Though affairs against Swansea tend to be low scoring, the extremely levered structure of their team always makes for smart football. Arsenal should take some pride in their effort at Allianz stadium where they are the first visiting team this season to record a victory. With some renewed confidence in their tired legs, hope spring gushes an evening of fantastic football.

Arsenal played a perceivably weakened side against the mighty Germans and everyone could see they played their hearts out. With the Arsenal captain, the starting keeper, “England’s savior” (as quoted by a few) and the ever injured yet talented Frenchman watching the game from afar, questions have been risen about the worth of the stars on the roster. Gibbs and Jenkinson were solid in defense, though Gibbs will again be missing against Swansea. Jenkinson will be eager to fill in Sagna’s able shoes, especially after the harrowing 20 seconds of defending against Michu last year. The offense came under some flak against BM in their inability to string enough attacking moves during the middle of the game as the Munich midfield were successful in breaking Giroud and co’s rhythm in the final third. No one knows this secret better than Swansea and I’m betting they will fancy their chances in a midfield sans Wilshire and Diaby.

Swansea on the other hand has been in a slight rollercoaster. West Ham loss, QPR win, Liverpool loss (Thrashing), Bradford win (another trashing), Newcastle win and most recently a WBA loss. Looking at Swansea’s form, no one can guess which Swansea will turn up. Leon Britton is set to return from a thigh injury and he should bring some solidarity to the midfield which was found lacking at WBA. Swansea was uncharacteristically tame last game with just 2 shots on goal while keeping 56% of the possession. Michu’s creative prowess has also taken a bit of a slump with a number of missed chances. However, Luke Moore has stepped up and scored in the last two games.

Both sides are bringing their inconsistent form into this game. To attempt to predict the result would be the epitome of foolishness. In such cases, the safer bet is to place the W in the home side’s column. Keeping in mind that the Arsenal side would be tired, and will find it hard to field fresh 11 players of quality, I’d give Swansea the edge to pull off a 2-1. Though, giving ol Arsene’s tactics some credit, one could conceive a Munich-sqe defensive performance and a keeper to be on 10 redbulls to stop anything the Mr. slick guzman or the smart moving offensive line up can muster. 

My final prediction:

60% Swansea 2 – 1 Arsenal
40% Swansea 1 – 1 Arsenal

And now to 8.30, for the first of the ten cup finals for Arsenal.

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